Picture
Adapted Screenplay
Film Editing
Picture
Adapted Screenplay
Film Editing
as good as it gets
I guess Picture, Editing, & the 2 Sounds... meh.
Still thinking Life of Pi wins Score.
Still holding out hope Kushner wins for his far superior Script; BSA is up in the air.
I'm just excited at the possibility that Aurens is back!![]()
It looks like we're pretty evenly split on the two Sound categories.
I'm thinking it'll take Sound Editing because I'm pretty sure Les Miserables will take Sound Mixing (musicals tend to do well in that category, see Dreamgirls and Chicago).
My alt for Sound Editing is Life of Pi, and I can't decide if I want Argo or Pi to be my alt in Sound Mixing.
The Sound categories are notoriously random. Sometimes they don't bother distinguishing between Editing and Mixing and award both to the same film, but then you have times when Slumdog won everything it was nominated for, except for them randomly giving Sound Editing to The Dark Knight because it was OMG LOUD!
None of the nominees this year are particularly OMG LOUD, which probably makes it easier for Argo to win both.
WE'RE GONNA FIGHT!
This weekend...one last chance to save Halle's career from complete oblivion. Oh, wait...
"...it's already done."
#THECALL.
Best Picture - Argo
Director - ???
Actor - Lincoln
Actress - Zero Dark Thirty
Sup. Actor - The Master
Sup. Actress - Les Miz
Adapted Screenplay - Argo
Original Screenplay - Amour
Film Editing - Zero Dark Thirty
Cinematography - Life of Pi
Production Design - Anna Karenina
Costumes - Anna Karenina or Mirror Mirror
Makeup - The Hobbit
Song - Skyfall
Score - Life of Pi or Argo
Sound Mixing - Les Miz
Sound Editing - Zero Dark Thirty
Visual Effects - Life of Pi
Thinking about it some more, what if this ends up being 2005-redux, where no film really dominates (4 films won 3 Oscars each)?
Argo (Crash) - Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Editing
Lincoln (???) - Actor, Supporting Actor...Score (?!)
Anna Karenina (Memoirs of a Geisha) - Cinematography, Costumes, Production Design
Life of Pi (King Kong) - Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects
Okay, I'll stop with the tired analogies.
WE'RE GONNA FIGHT!
This weekend...one last chance to save Halle's career from complete oblivion. Oh, wait...
"...it's already done."
#THECALL.
Eh, IF it wins Picture (still not 100% sold) I say it takes editing and adapted screenplay.
I thnk it has editing locked regardless the BP outcome.
Entirely possible, but until we get BAFTA tech results and ACE Eddies, I'm sticking with BFCA's choices apart from screenplay, and maybe score. Argo won BP, BD and nothing else. Lincoln won actor, screenplay and score (giving 1 or 2 of these to Argo). ZDT won actress and film editing. Pi won cinematography and visual effects.
Wouldn't it be something of a travesty if Argo beat Lincoln in Adapted Screenplay?
They gotta give Argo somethig else major though? I really think it HAS to win either Adapted Screenplay OR Supporting Actor -- or it's not winning Best Picture. Even with the crapshoot Supporting Actor is, I really don't see Arkin. So it has to be Screenplay.
I am just feeling that if it gets neither - it's not winning.
Was thinking about Picture/Director splits of the last several years, and every picture that won without winning director also had another win in the top 8: acting or writing.
"Argo" has won so much that most have jumped ship and started predicting it to become the 3rd film to win Best Picture without a Director nomination. But what would its win tally be?
It can't win Director, obviously, and is exceedinly unlikely to win Supporting Actor, and very unlikely to win Adapted Screenplay.
That leaves:
- Editing (I suppose it can win that easily enough)
- Score (would be a first win for Desplat, but has an Ang Lee film ever gotten this nomination and not won it?)
- Sound Mixing (still see this going to Life of Pi, or even Les Mis)
- Sound Editing (see this going to Life of Pi, or Zero Dark Thirty)
If it wins Best Picture, could it potentially win only 2 awards? Only 1?
Weigh in with your thoughts.
Dave
I'm actually predicting it to win Editing. It's biggest competition, IMHO, is Pi or ZDT.
I don't think it has much hope winning the others, though. The score was far too muted and subtle to be a winner.
The sound categories are likely to go to Pi as well, though Les Miz for Mixing, ZDT for Editing or Skyfall for both are far more likely spoilers.
I think you're dead on about the writing and acting nods. Which would mean Argo would be the first Best Picture to only win two awards since The Greatest Show on Earth