Best Supporting Actress 2013

[erib777]

Margo Martindale, August: Osage County
Sharon Stone, Lovelace
Kristin Scott Thomas, Only God Forgives
Carey Mulligan, Inside Llewyn Davies
Amy Adams, Her (or O'Rusell project)

[Solarie]

Don't sleep on Julianne Nicholson. She may not be a "name" in this cast, but she has a terrific role.

Two words, Samantha Barks.

[RayB]

Oh God, now everytime there's a little know actress in contention with a baity role people are going to compare them to Samantha Barks.

[Souler]

Oh God, now everytime there's a little know actress in contention with a baity role people are going to compare them to Samantha Barks.

I know right? The worst thing about an Argo BP win would people justifying every crazy prediction with Argo winning without a BD nod. Argh

[Thomas]

I know right? The worst thing about an Argo BP win would people justifying every crazy prediction with Argo winning without a BD nod. Argh

Driving Miss Daisy!

[Jonathan]

Two words, Samantha Barks.

Though I myself made that comparison earlier, I will say that Nicholson is much more prominent in this story, and arguably the third biggest role overall after Streep and Roberts. It's just a matter of whether or not Nicholson plays the hell out of the role.

[Thomas]

Also, Julianne Nicholson is an actress who has done fine work on stage and screen since 1997.
Barks was some talent TV show survivor in hear film debut.

[babz]

This what i'm thinking so far

Cate Blanchett – The Monuments Men
Margo Martindale – August: Osage County
Carey Mulligan – Inside Llewyn Davis
Octavia Spencer-Fruitvale
Oprah Winfrey-The Butler

[Submerge]

Two words, Samantha Barks.

I don't buy this comparison. Nicholson has a terrific role that will likely remain unchanged. Barks also had buzz, but she ended up with a slimmed down role and muted impact overall. I can't imagine the same thing happening here. Plus, August: Osage County just feels...baitier? It's chock full of high-wire, dynamic performances. This is the kind of stuff actors absolutely live for. If she "plays the hell out of the role" (as Jonathan says), she's in an excellent position. Thomas also has a important point re: Nicholson vs. the inexperienced Barks. Again, I could be wrong, but I see no reason not to consider her at this point.

[Souler]

Also, people are expecting A:OC to be a big player, right? Most people who predicted Barks also predicted Les Miz to be a much stronger contender than it ended up being.

[Moviefreak]

Plus, for every Samantha Barks there's a Jessica Chastain, Octavia Spencer, Viola Davis, Anna Kendrick, etc. "Unkowns" get into this category all the time. Plus, Julianne Nicholson, an actress who has been working steadily in TV for many years, is much more like the aforementioned women than Barks. She makes a lot of sense as the breakout, first time nominee in this category.

[klariso]

First batch of predictions:

Cate Blanchett, The Monuments Men
Cameron Diaz, The Counselor
Margo Martindale, August: Osage County
Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale
Shailene Woodley, The Spectacular Now

6th: Amy Adams, The Untitled David O. Russell Project
7th: Oprah Winfrey, The Butler
8th: Jennifer Garner, Dallas Buyers Club
9th: Jessica Lange, Therese
10th: Julianne Nicholson, August: Osage Country

[jjj]

Even with both Streep and Roberts’ roles getting lead noms on the stage, only Martindale’s role got into supporting. And there are far, far more US theatrical releases than there are New York non-musical plays each year.

Also, Barks’s role was way more baity than Nicholson’s character who as written is to me dull and spineless. Only one movie has ever gotten 4 actress noms, so it would be smart to only push 3 of the movie’s ladies as August is no All About Eve.

If Lead Tony winning roles can go supporting (Catherine Zeta-Jones, Jennifer Hudson), so can a Lead Tony losing role (Roberts).

[mrazrockit]

Yeah, four Actress nominations would be a stretch. Streep is a fact, then two Supporting Actress nominations - Martindale and either Nicholson or Lewis. Roberts can introduce their SAG Ensemble clip.

[Donezo]

Adams
Blanchett
Martindale
Nicholson
Spencer

That makes sense to me this far out. Too much sense actually. I will be surprised if The Butler is not a fiasco.

[Caracolillos]

Blanchett
Martindale
Nicholson
Scott Thomas
Winfrey

[tututaya]

would love to see Jessica Lange and Sharon Stone return to the conversation.

[fallglimmer32]

what kind of part does Amy Adams have? I did some searching but I can't really find much.

[with_one_voice]

what kind of part does Amy Adams have? I did some searching but I can't really find much.

I don't think anyone knows anything yet about this project, lol. However, the combination of O. Russell (his last two films have gotten 7 actors nominated) + Amy Adams (perennial nominee) seems like a good enough recipe for a year-in-advance pick.

[Matt24]

I don't think anyone knows anything yet about this project, lol. However, the combination of O. Russell (his last two films have gotten 7 actors nominated) + Amy Adams (perennial nominee) seems like a good enough recipe for a year-in-advance pick.

I have the script for the new Russell (though fairly major changes were apparentley made). I'll let y'all know, but if Adams gets nominated again,