This might hold some credence if SLP were to lose SAG tomorrow, which I highly doubt it will.Originally Posted by Riley Q
This might hold some credence if SLP were to lose SAG tomorrow, which I highly doubt it will.
Like Crash did before SAG?
If it wins SAG tomorrow then no. If it loses..... still no, especially if it loses to Argo.
This year is too wild to call anything dead including Lincoln.
Picture: Silver Linings Playbook
Director: David O'Russell
Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
Actress: Jennifer Lawrence
Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro
Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
Adapted Screenplay: Silver Linings Playbook
If Argo ends up the huge BP frontrunner, I might have to predict an Alan Arkin lolwut Supporting Actor win
Picture - "Argo"
Director - David O. Russell for "Silver Linings Playbook"
Actor - Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"
Actress - Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Linings Playbook"
Supporting Actor - Tommy Lee Jones, "Lincoln"
Supporting Actress - Anne Hathaway, "Les Miserables"
Adapted Screenplay - "Argo"
Original Screenplay - "Django Unchained"
Foreign Language Film - "Amour"
Animated Feature - "Brave"
Documentary Feature - "How To Survive a Plague"
Cinematography - "Life of Pi"
Costume Design - "Anna Karenina"
Film Editing - "Argo"
Original Score - "Life of Pi"
Original Song - "Skyfall"
Production Design - "Lincoln"
Sound Editing - "Zero Dark Thirty"
Sound Mixing - "Les Miserables"
Hair and Makeup - "The Hobbit"
Visual Effects - "Life of Pi"
Last edited by Keirdancer; 02-06-2013 at 10:56 PM.
as good as it gets
QT wins screenplay.
Not totally although I think SAG ensemble is kind of overated as a Predictor every award season. If SLP is gonna pull the upset though beating Argo and Lincoln with WGA might be an indicator.
??? There are no critics or famewhore Golden Globe voters branches at the Oscar. Losing critic awards and GG actually means nothing since a lot of those people are just hedging their bets with what they think will win Oscars so they can make themselves relevent.
Even if Lincoln loses DGA it still has a chance if it beats Argo at WGA and ACE.
Alternates are in parentheses.
Picture: Lincoln (Silver Linings Playbook)
Director: Spielberg (Lee)
Actor: Day-Lewis (Cooper)
Actress: Lawrence (Chastain and *please o please* Riva)
Supp. Actor: Lee-Jones (De Niro)
Supp. Actress: Hathaway (Field)
Orig. Screenplay: Amour {Django Unchained)
Adapt. Screenplay: Lincoln (Silver Linings Playbook)
Foreign Film: Amour (No)
Animated: Frankenweenie (Wreck-it Ralph)
Documentary: Searching for Sugarman (The Invisible War)
Cinematography: Life of PI (Skyfall)
Costumes: Anna Karenina (Mirror Mirror)
Editing: Argo (Zero Dark Thirty)
Makeup: The Hobbit (Les Miserables)
Score: Life of Pi (Lincoln)
Song: Skyfall (Suddenly)
Editing: Argo (Zero Dark Thirty)
Mixing: Les Miserables (Life of Pi)
Production Design: Les Miserables (Anna Karenina)
Visual Effects: Life of Pi (Marvel's The Avengers)
DUN LET GO!!!!!!!!!!!
I keep going back and forth between Argo and SLP. My faith in Argo all during the critics season when everyone else was jumping ship proved to be well founded but every time I decide to predict it I'm forced to face two issues. 1) What else does it win, and 2) What the hell is winning director?? I guess it's just going to be an anomoly year and "Argo" will only take Picture and Editing and someone random will win director? Or SLP sweeps, that seems simple.
If Argo wins BP it should have no trouble winning Screenplay too. Kushner is not the mortal lock I assumed he was. I think people will be perfectly content with giving Lincoln just Actor.
Director is a headscratcher, for sure. I can really only see Lee winning in that scenario, but even he seems not quite right. Director is really never the place where someone random wins. I can't think of any example, actually.
Well, if voters are looking to give Argo a major win... there's an open category where they could do so...
If Affleck gets all these standing ovations from actors for his snub then is it means it is gonna win SAG?
Spielberg vs. the Industry. Who Will Win In The End?
Spielberg lost.
I just can't see David O. Russell winning director with SLP also winning Best Picture. Like, at all.
New predictions:
Best Picture, Life of Pi
Best Actress, Jennifer Lawrence
Best Actor, Daniel Day-Lewis
Best Supporting Actor, Tommy Lee Jones
Best Supporting Actress, Anne Hathaway
Best Director, Ang Lee
Best Original Screenplay, Amour
Best Adapted Screenplay, Life of Pi
Best Cinematography, Life of PI
Best Art Direction, Les Meserables
Best Costume, Anna Karenina
Best Sound, Life of Pi
Best Editing, Argo
Best Sound Editing, Life of Pi
Best Visual Effects, Life of Pi
Best Makeup, The Hobbit
Best Song, Les Miserables
Best Score, Life of Pi
Best Animated Feature, Wreck-It Ralph
Best Foreign Language Film, Amour
I see how Life of Pi CAN win Picture, but Screenplay seems illogical even if that happened. That's the movie's weakest aspect and the one that's been criticized the most.
New 3 week out predix:
Picture: Argo
Director: SLP
Actor: DDL
Actress: Lawrence
S.Actor: Jones
S. Actress: Hathaway
O.SP: Amour
A.SP: SLP
Editing: Argo
Best Cinematography, Life of PI
Best Art Direction, Les Meserables
Best Costume, Anna Karenina
Best Sound, Life of Pi
Best Sound Editing, Argo
Best Visual Effects, Life of Pi
Best Makeup, Les Mis
Best Song, Skyfall
Best Score, Argo
Best Animated Feature, Wreck-It Ralph
Best Foreign Language Film, Amour
Will Oscar have Riva Fever?
Best Picture: Argo
Best Director: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Best Original Screenplay: Amour
Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo
Best Animated Feature: Wreck-It Ralph
Best Documentary Feature: Searching for Sugar Man
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
Best Film Editing: Argo
Best Makeup & Hair: The Hobbit
Best Original Score: Life of Pi
Best Original Song: "Skyfall," Skyfall
Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
Best Sound Editing: Argo
Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
I almost completely agree with filmy, but I have Gatekeepers for Documentary and Frankenweenie for Animated.
Great. Now who's going to watch Sunday Rose on SAG night??
Picture: Lincoln
Director: Spielberg
Actor: Day-Lewis
Actress: Lawrence
Supp. Actor: Tommy Lee Jones
Supp. Actress: Hathaway
O. Screenplay: Amour
A. Screenplay: Lincoln
Animated: Wreck-It Ralph
Foreign: Amour
Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
Cinematography: Life of Pi
Costume Design: Anna Karenina
Editing: Lincoln
Makeup: Les Miserables
Original Score: Life of Pi
Original Song: "Skyfall," Skyfall
Production Design: Lincoln
Sound Editing: Skyfall
Sound Mixing: Skyfall
Visual Effects: Life of Pi
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