If we really get to the 4 or 5 placements Life of Pi is a threat to win. I'm predicting to do very well with the techs so I think it will get most of those placements.
Upstream Color - Best Picture
Shane Carruth - Upstream Color - Best Director
Argo to me totally seems like the kind of movie they normally like, I don't understand why she seems to think it seems too light weight.
The dog park, maybe.
Will Oscar have Riva Fever?
I don't have him in my top five, but I'm fine with his nom. This seems to be the role of his lifetime, so at least he got a Globe and an Oscar nod for it.
So am I. Not even kidding. After Lawrence won the SAG, Tapley tweeted "Congratulations to Jennifer Lawrence for not having to face Emmanuelle Riva". I tweeted to him that He's in denial and Lawrence is winning. Innocent enough, right? I am now blocked from following him. All because of that! And I don't even want Lawrence to win! But to block someone for tweeting that? Don't these big bad awards bloggers have a thicker skin than that? Geez. They don't like being challenged. He has all but ignored the last month of the Best Actress race all because Riva hasn't been included all but ignoring the obvious momentum with SIlver Linings and JLaw. Riva COULD happen but its a long shot and I have failed to hear a suitable case from Tapley why it will. Apparently he's into blocking people who press him on it.
Thompson is just a dodo head. What the heck was she getting at over the Chastain thing? People were trashing her over giving the In Memoriam at SAG? Because of her ZDT character? What? Who? And before they elaborate Tapley brings up the Gurus of Gold as if anyone gives a s*it over the Gurus of Gold. And 1000X yes on her pushing her favorite. Making it sound like Bening-Portman was down to the wire. Talking up Helen Hunt/John Hawkes chances the whole time because she loved The Sessions even though the movie was clearly falling behind in the race.
I honestly think its sad that people like Ben Affleck go up to these unfocused jelly brains and even give them the time of day let alone solicit their opinion.
This is why Julianne Moore has never won an Oscar