Best Director: Post-BFCA/SAG/GG, 2

[DirkDiggler]

Well said, Zuranthium.

[James]

The main question to be asked is how divided is the "high-minded" segment of the directors branch, which I would say is rather large compared to most other branches. I can see Haneke sneaking in. LOL, I know I have argued for Amour a lot lately, but I sense it may be Thursday's biggest surprise.

I'm leaning towards Haneke. PTA is my question mark, I'm just not sure how much love is out there for The Master, but he does have Harvey Weinstein in his corner, but did Harvey focus all efforts on SLP, Django and The Intouchables.

[Aurelius]

When they announce the nominees, do they do that by alphabetical order of the names of the directors, or the films?

[Moviefreak]

World War II. Jews. Hitler.

Pre-Civil War. Blacks. Racism.

The main question to be asked is how divided is the "high-minded" segment of the directors branch, which I would say is rather large compared to most other branches. I can see Haneke sneaking in. LOL, I know I have argued for Amour a lot lately, but I sense it may be Thursday's biggest surprise.

Amour getting Picture, Director, Actress and Screenplay nominations would not only be the most shocking thing on Thursday, but the most shocking thing the AMPAS has done in like 30+ years.

[Moviefreak]

When they announce the nominees, do they do that by alphabetical order of the names of the directors, or the films?

Films.

[with_one_voice]

When they announce the nominees, do they do that by alphabetical order of the names of the directors, or the films?

Oscars go by film title for Director. Last year's order was Hazanavicius, Payne, Scorsese, Allen, Malick.

[erikdean]

Pre-Civil War. Blacks. Racism.

Um, AMPAS has already solved racism.

[Atonenent.]

I mean that Django is not contending for the win, it will get into BP but those are two different things. Especially in a field with potentially 10 nominees.

Life of Pi certainly isn't a contender for the win either, nor The Master. Les Miz, I'll give you that, even if it's highly unlikely.

[Submerge]

Hmmm...After today, I'll say:

01. Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
02. Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
03. Ben Affleck, Argo
04. Ang Lee, Life of Pi
05. Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained

06. Tom Hooper, Les Miserables
07. Michael Haneke, Amour
08. Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
09. David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook

The first three are obviously interchangeable. Lee is a somewhat solid No. 4 in my mind. After that, it becomes much more complicated. I still think the last spot is going to Tarantino, with Hooper lurking right behind. Haneke is a decent possibility as well, but I wonder if the film is still a little too underseen. I don't have much faith in Anderson or Russell, but I suppose they still have a shot, however small that shot may be.

[Aurelius]

Films.

So we'll quickly know about Haneke, babz.

[Moviefreak]

So we'll quickly know about Haneke, babz.

Basically immediately, since Amour comes even before Argo.

But, we'll actually probably know before that since I doubt Haneke gets in if Riva doesn't.

[Aurelius]

So we will know the whole list by the time we get to the second name (QT for Django or Hooper for Les Mis). Because Lee/Spielberg/Bigelow ain't missing. So if Lee gets called second, we know it's PTA (I have no faith in Russell).

[Moviefreak]

Basically.

[Jonathan]

The main question to be asked is how divided is the "high-minded" segment of the directors branch, which I would say is rather large compared to most other branches. I can see Haneke sneaking in. LOL, I know I have argued for Amour a lot lately, but I sense it may be Thursday's biggest surprise.

Yeah, I'm beginning to think about this, even though it seems weird that not a single one of Weinstein's guys will make it.

[jjj]

Wow, I hadn't been paying attention to Pi's worldwide box office. It's made over 100% more than the movie it was being compared to earlier in the year Hugo (big-budget, kids' book adaptation, starring a child, magic-y, lots of 3D). And over 100% more than Brokeback Mountain. Box Office Mojo estimates it could make $200 mil more internationally. How impressive for a movie based on an "unadaptable" book.

Assuming Bafta nominates him, if the Oscars don't it'll be like the most egregious snub since...Ang Lee for S&S. C'mon, let's be a little bit less racist than that.

[guany]

Assuming Bafta nominates him, if the Oscars don't it'll be like the most egregious snub since...Ang Lee for S&S. C'mon, let's be a little bit less racist than that.

[Francisand]

Objectively speaking, there are at least 8 or 9 directors in contention this year that got better reviewed films than Ang Lee's Life of Pi. Sense and Sensibility also won ton of important critics awards from both Los Angeles and New York; while Life of Pi this year hasn't scored a single mention from any of the major critics groups (NYFCC, LAFCA, National Society of Film Critics, or even NBR) and is pretty much ignored by all the highbrow critics. Yes, it made quite a lot of money, but I doubt most film enthusiasts and critics would care if Lee was snubbed this year for an eye-popping middlebrow "family film".

[Riley Q]

Could foresee a Lee snub...

[DirkDiggler]

Hooper is an official Dreamgirl.

[CalVinn]

BAFTA noms:

Affleck
Bigelow
Haneke
Lee
Tarantino

No Spielberg!! That sure clears things up!