Is there ANY lock for ANY award?

[Rage Colored Glasses]

Yeah...um, the weakness of competition has nothing to do with it. She's winning because she's A) a true 'it' girl, B) a previous nominee, C) the role is pure bait, D) the buzz is VERY strong, E) she's well liked and most importantly, she effing nails it.

I did say she would win against most competition anyway. Doesn't change the fact that its weak.

[kitkat]

In what universe is DDL not a lock (as much as can be at this point)? He's won more critics awards than any other contender and look at his competition. The 2-5 spots aren't even assured nominees right now.

[siowafc]

Anna Karenina is locked to win Costumes.

[nadine]

If we go by this little trend then DDL is definitely a lock.

Colin Firth wins for The King's Speech playing a King
Meryl Streep wins for The Iron Lady playing a Prime Minister (presented by Firth)
DDL wins for Lincoln playing a President (presented by Streep)
So next year look out for Watts and Kidman going by that theme.

The singer/dancer/performer thing is on the opposite side with Bridges, Portman and Dujardin.

[siowafc]

The singer/dancer/performer thing is on the opposite side with Bridges, Portman and Dujardin.

And now...LAWRENCE?! Omg, this trend is probably the most incisive piece of Oscar prognosticating I have read in quite some time!

[bosk]

Well where the hell does SaBu fall?

[siowafc]

Queen of America's Heart?



Don't ruin a good thing!!!

[dlong5665]

SaBu played a real person so there's that.

But OMG the dancer thing is amazing. Jlaw's locked y'all.

[Mike Aiello]

People also forget that Brody won because not only was "The Pianist" a hit with the Academy (hence Polanski's surprising win), but "Gangs of New York" clearly was not (it even lost that Song category to Eminem lol). This year, people clearly like "Lincoln" so even if Hawkes/Cooper/Phoenix/Jackman were comparable to Brody, none of their films has more acclaim than "Lincoln". Hawkes' buzz is nonexistent lol, Phoenix will be lucky to be nominated at this point...Cooper is overshadowed by his co-star getting all the awards-talk buzz (and SLP does not seem like a film that would score that combined Best Actor/Best Actress wins), and Hugh Jackman is the only one that had a shot at the win...but his film is not doing well enough critically I think for him to beat Day-Lewis at this point. Were he raved more, I could see it but at this point...I just don't.

Now, having said all that, I could still see SAG do some weird thing and give the win to Washington or maybe even Jackman since "Les Mis" is a popular hit right now. I don't think those wins will have any bearing on the race though...but Day-Lewis has already won twice there so I could see SAG spreading the wealth.

[Donezo]

Well where the hell does SaBu fall?

Down the stairs?



Too easy.

[MVP of West Hollywood]

DDL because who beats him? Is Jackman really going to gain momentum for the win with Les Mis' reviews?

[Timmer]

DDL because who beats him? Is Jackman really going to gain momentum for the win with Les Mis' reviews?

God, i hope not. jackman is downright BAD in Les miserables. He only looks good when Crowe is onscreen with him because he's worse.

[makemeameteor]

Can we lock this thread?

No. I want people to continue to post things I can use to harass them with after this Oscar season ends.

[CultureTilt]

If we go by this little trend then DDL is definitely a lock.

Colin Firth wins for The King's Speech playing a King
Meryl Streep wins for The Iron Lady playing a Prime Minister (presented by Firth)
DDL wins for Lincoln playing a President (presented by Streep)
So next year look out for Watts and Kidman going by that theme.

Should we be expecting much to happen with Watts as Princess Di?