Best Supporting Actor: December, 2

[Dr_Dmitri-Yuriev]

I thought that after LAFCA but the BFCA snub is troubling. He won't get in with Globe and can't with SAG and I highly doubt BAFTA will mention him, so if he does show up it will be 100% out of nowhere at this point.

Remember Shoreh in 2003 who was ignored by BFCA, GG, SAG and BAFTA yet she still received a nomination (she had won NY and LA though).

[Moviefreak]

If DiCaprio wants to win, he needs to get GG and SAG nominations. Tommy Lee Jones is no Kate Hudson, and the Academy will have no problem giving him a second Oscar, especially if the Globes and SAG reward him.

Leo can bounce back from the BFCA, but the other two are essential.

I kind of think Leo is missing the SAG, especially if Django was under seen by them.

[filmy]

I kind of think Leo is missing the SAG, especially if Django was under seen by them.

Alan Arkin's name is at the top of the ballot! Easy check mark.

[Dr_Dmitri-Yuriev]

This category is such a mess I'm only confident in Jones and Hoffman at the moment; hopefully SAG and GG help resolve it.

[guany]

LOL, McConaughey?

[Moviefreak]

Alan Arkin's name is at the top of the ballot! Easy check mark.

Yeah, I really think we're gonna see an Arkin/DeNiro/Hoffman/Jones/McConaughey lineup tomorrow.

[McTeague]

Yeah I totally think Leo can and will miss SAG, and he will still be nominated for Oscar and maybe even win. If MGH could do it then the biggest Hollwyood star with three prvious nods and already rewarded competitors can. But he needs to win the globe, that's for sure (not that he won't, I'm pretty sure he will).

[electric_storm]

LOL, McConaughey?

More like LOL DeNiro, but let's not get into that again...

[guany]

Yeah I totally think Leo can and will miss SAG, and he will still be nominated for Oscar and maybe even win. If MGH could do it then the biggest Hollwyood star with three prvious nods and already rewarded competitors can. But he needs to win the globe, that's for sure (not that he won't, I'm pretty sure he will).

But, again, Leo is up against Tommy Lee Jones... MGH was up against Kate Hudson. LOL?

[Moviefreak]

Yeah I totally think Leo can and will miss SAG, and he will still be nominated for Oscar and maybe even win. If MGH could do it then the biggest Hollwyood star with three prvious nods and already rewarded competitors can. But he needs to win the globe, that's for sure (not that he won't, I'm pretty sure he will).

Again Marcia Gay Harden was in a race without a frontrunner and no one wanted to award Kate Hudson. If TLJ wins the BFCA, BAFTA and especially SAG like he most likely will and Lincoln wins Best Picture (like it can), then it doesn't matter what happens at the GG at all.

[electric_storm]

Yeah, I really think we're gonna see an Arkin/DeNiro/Hoffman/Jones/McConaughey lineup tomorrow.

This is the most likely lineup for sure. I'd probably have Bardem or Redmayne as the potential spoiler.

[McTeague]

But, again, Leo is up against Tommy Lee Jones... MGH was up against Kate Hudson. LOL?

2000's Kate Hudson is not the same as 2012's Kate Hudson. I fail to see how being an unknown "woman of an age" (thanks, Sally, I really like you!) against a promising, pretty starlet that happens to be Hollywood royalty and was in the likely sixth contender for BP is something to laugh at. I think it's easier to beat an already rewarded veteran than an upcoming starlet with everything in her favour.

Let's remember that TLJ isn't some sort of steamroll. So far, he has failed to win anywhere big, while Leo hasn't. If TLJ was sweeping I'd agree, but he's very far from it.

[guany]

SAG
Arkin
De Niro
Hoffman
Jones (Winner; You KNOW they would love to give him a SAG).
McConaughey

I'm assuming they didn't see Django in time.

GLOBES
De Niro
DiCaprio
Hoffman
Jones
McConaughey

[Moviefreak]

SAG
Arkin
De Niro
Hoffman
Jones (Winner; You KNOW they would love to give him a SAG).
McConaughey

I'm assuming they didn't see Django in time.

GLOBES
De Niro
DiCaprio
Hoffman
Jones
McConaughey

Agreed.