View Poll Results: Who will be nominated for Best Actor? (Choose Five)

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  • Bradley Cooper – Silver Linings Playbook

    104 88.14%
  • Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln

    114 96.61%
  • John Hawkes – The Sessions

    64 54.24%
  • Hugh Jackman – Les Misérables

    84 71.19%
  • Joaquin Phoenix – The Master

    106 89.83%
  • Jean-Louis Trintignant – Amour

    8 6.78%
  • Denzel Washington – Flight

    93 78.81%
  • Other

    3 2.54%
Multiple Choice Poll.
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Results 421 to 436 of 436

Thread: Best Actor: December

  1. #421
    Emotionally Susceptible
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    Quote Originally Posted by Moviefreak View Post
    Hopkins and Wilkinson are not happening. Trintigant is actually very possible. A Cooper/DDL/Jackman/Phoenix/Trintigant lineup at BAFTA actually makes sense.
    Hitchcock doesn't have much worse reviews than Iron Lady and they gave Streep A WIN for that. I think they'll be fine nominating a British acting legend for playing a British legend period regardless of reviews.

  2. #422
    Senior Member Moviefreak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by McTeague View Post
    Hitchcock doesn't have much worse reviews than Iron Lady and they gave Streep A WIN for that. I think they'll be fine nominating a British acting legend for playing a British legend period regardless of reviews.
    Yeah, but Streep also won the Oscar so it's not the same thing. I just feel like Hopkins might not happen anywhere. I'm considering removing from my GG nominations too. I don't even think Mirren is getting a BAFTA nomination.

  3. #423
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    I read this really interesting article from the Guardian that shed light on the reasons why The Master was snubbed by the SAGS. The author suggests that Phoenix’s past comments may have played a part in his snub, but that it’s highly unlikely. Amy Adams, who is beloved by the Guild, was not nominated either. That in itself speaks more to how the film was generally received than Joaquin Phoenix’s comments.

    The author also suggests that the reason Joaquin Phoenix may have been snubbed was because the actors were uncomfortable with the performance – that it bordered on being “exploitative” in its possible depiction of a real damaged person. According to the author, Phoenix’s performance is the kind that makes people wonder “how much of this is acting and how much is he going through a breakdown?”

    I think that’s a really interesting way of looking at it. The argument may not hold any weight (after all, they probably just hated the film) but it does make you wonder how they consider the nominations.

    The author goes on to state that there’s a good chance Phoenix (and Adams) will receive Oscar nominations since, with ballots being mailed in less than a week, actors will feel compelled to stand up for his performance even more.

    We’ll see what happens. I hope Phoenix gets nominated but you never know… You can find the article here:
    http://www.guardian.co.uk/film/2012/...nix?CMP=twt_fd

    In any case, he should be nominated tomorrow and that will make me happy

  4. #424
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    I was reading the comment thread on Incontention and apparently a lot of actors find Phoenix's performance "too indulgent"

  5. #425
    Senior Member jjj's Avatar
    Join Date: Oct 2009
    Posts: 2,175
    Weird how the category with the fewest feasible contenders is the one with a realistic chance at 2 first-timers.

    Ang Lee - The only 2x Bafta/DGA/Oscar-Winning Director!
    Meryl on Oscars: Y’see these little babies? These are my best f***ing friends
    and they never let me down. Try to get ‘em away from me and I’ll eat you alive.

  6. #426
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    Joaquin missing SAG is not surprising. They are the most vanilla of the precursors.

  7. #427
    Senior Member guany's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by kitkat View Post
    Joaquin missing SAG is not surprising. They are the most vanilla of the precursors.
    Vanilla? They nominated Nicole Kidman!

  8. #428
    Vanilla with lemon then?

  9. #429
    Senior Member
    Join Date: Nov 2009
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    Yeah, but she's Nicole Kidman. In the worst category. They're like desperate for stuff to nominate in Supp. Actress.

  10. #430
    Always Be Excellent to Each Other Howard Beale's Toothpaste's Avatar
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    The role and film make it weird, but it's Nicole Kidman on the other hand, so it's hard to say.
    Also I promised myself that every time I made a post about supporting actress I would promote Emily Blunt. So...remember to vote Emily Blunt, Best Supporting Actress, Looper, at the INOCAs.

  11. #431
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike Aiello View Post
    I'm not extremely well-versed in old Hollywood Academy Awards history, but when was Tracy in serious contention for his third? I'm thinking only in 1967 for "Guess Who's Coming to Dinner?", but Steiger had lost two years prior for "Pawnbroker" when he was favored to win (at least over Lee Marvin in "Cat Ballou"). And Tracy wasn't as undeniable in a performance as Day-Lewis is this year any year after 1938 when he won a second time.

    Gary Cooper wasn't even nominated another time after he won a second lol. But he did win an Honorary Oscar for some reason.

    Dustin Hoffman was easily the weakest of the five nominated in 1997, so it's kind of a moot point. Everyone that year had more buzz than him...they probably would have rewarded Matt Damon before giving Hoffman a third, but not because they were anti-giving Hoffman a third, but because his film was weak. A Lincoln, it was not.

    Tom Hanks is a good comparison....but Hanks was against Crowe in a BP film. We all said that Jackman miight have a fighting chance if Les Mis was a big BP contender, but...it's not anymore. It will probably get nominated and I think Jackman will get nominated despite mixed reviews, but the likelihood of Jackman winning at this point is pretty slim, I think.

    Anyway, I don't think we can really use comparisons because none of the other two-time winners were in such a position as Day-Lewis is. I do think that if we had another raved performance in a solid BP contender, that person could challenge Day-Lewis, not so much because Day-Lewis has two Oscars already...but more because his second win was five years ago. But the closet competition Day-Lewis has with regard to "passionate" voters is probably Joaquin Phoenix at this point...and I can't see Joaquin beating Lincoln.
    An argument can be made for Hoffman deserving accolade in 67 and 69. However, there were strong competition and more deserving winners. Hanks's 1st win was definitely unworthy. Hopkins and DDL were both superior in not only one but two performances. A case can be made for Hanks in 2000 but Crowe was due and could have won the year earlier for the best performance among the nominees.

    I think a better case might be made for Brando and Nicholson. Even if we ignore Streetcar, Brando really gave the best male performance in 73 in Last Tango in Paris. I guess that the unlikable chanracter plus the drama at the Oscar in 72 prevented him from winning. Nicholson deserved a win in 74 for Chinatown (even over Pacino in Godfather 2) but that was partially cancelled out by his unworthy win in 97.

    For DDL, at least all his wins are in years when he clearly gave the best performance among the nominees and was the consensus of best actor among the critics circle. He literally earned all his wins.

  12. #432
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    The Phoenix SAG snub reminded me of the Emily Watson snub in 96 for "Breaking the waves". Difficult roles that potentially polarized voters. Watson should have won in 96 in a sweep. Phonexi should finish as a runner up.

  13. #433
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    Watson didn’t polarize anything. Everyone who saw her, raved her. It was a problem of there not being many more precursors than her LAFCA win back then to put her on the map. It still was a Danish obscure film. You can't compare an underseen Danish obscure film to one of the most hyped American films of the year.

  14. #434
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    Quote Originally Posted by McTeague View Post
    Watson didn’t polarize anything. Everyone who saw her, raved her. It was a problem of there not being many more precursors than her LAFCA win back then to put her on the map. It still was a Danish obscure film. You can't compare an underseen Danish obscure film to one of the most hyped American films of the year.
    She won best actress from NY and NSFC outright and won the New Generation Award from LA. And she was the BUZZ from New York Film Festival.

  15. #435
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    Quote Originally Posted by Naruse View Post
    She won best actress from NY and NSFC outright and won the New Generation Award from LA. And she was the BUZZ from New York Film Festival.
    So she was like Emmanuelle Riva or Liv Ullman in her first snub. Not Phoenix.

  16. #436
    Senior Member
    Join Date: Dec 2007
    Posts: 877
    She got critics awards + Globe. So is Phoenix. Both were snubbed by the SAG.

    Riva missed both SAG and Globe.

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