Linda Cardellini – Return
Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty
Emayatzy Corinealdi – Middle of Nowhere
Marion Cotillard – Rust and Bone
Judi Dench – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Keira Knightley – Anna Karenina
Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
Helen Mirren – Hitchcock
Emmanuelle Riva – Amour
Maggie Smith – Quartet
Quvenzhané Wallis – Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts – The Impossible
Rachel Weisz – The Deep Blue Sea
ZDT can win screenplay and editing, they don't need to give it Actress. I think Chastain winning is fairly dependant on her film doing so.
"I shall immediately after I'm done watching Homeland." - DirkDiggler on his voting priorities
Riva and Wallis are right on the cusp for me, Riva's problem is that she's foreign and Wallis might be forgotten in this whole thing, regulated to the young actress/breakthrough table. If Riva misses SAG/GG she's done and if Wallis misses BFCA/GG i think she's done too. Mirren or Weisz have got to be waiting in the wings....
Wallis getting BFCA + GG nods would probably cement her as a nominee. Not sure what to make of the situation if she misses one of them; it would depend on how the other contenders are recognized in this week's precursors. If she misses both, she's surely out.
And big LOL at the Emmaniac Rivaholics.
Will Oscar have Riva Fever?
Luckily the Globes, BAFTA, and Oscars don't have Breakthrough or Child categories... so if they want to reward Wallis they have to put her in Best Actress. And they will.
As for BFCA, in 2010 they nominated both Jennifer Lawrence and Hailee Steinfeld in their respective categories as well as Best Young Actor/Actress. So, I don't see why Wallis can't get both mentions tomorrow.