Most recent NYFCC Best Actress winners came from either lighter/comedic fare (Bening, Streep for J&J, Hawkins, Witherspoon), or were one of the frontrunners (Streep for Iron Lady, Christie, Mirren), so since Lawrence fits both of those criteria, most expected her to win this.
For LAFCA, though, she doesn't fit their mold (i.e., she's not an obscure foreigner)
Eh, I don't think SLP was hurt too much. It might be in contention for Supporting Actor or Screenplay at NBR, but Lawrence was basically its only shot here and her missing isn't that surprising. I mean, Hatahaway missed too, and Hathaway lost to someone who can actually contend for the win.
I know I've got a big ego, I really don't know why it's such a big deal, though.
I'm just glad it doesn't look like there are going to be any real sweeps of the critics' awards this year (unless DDL does, I guess).
I don't think Hathaway is that much in trouble. Strong frontrunners have lost at NY before and it proved a speed bump (Ledger in 08, Plummer last year).
DDL will probably come close to a sweep, maybe lose one or two to Phoenix.
I've never been a big fan of McConaughey, but hey, good for him.
I didn't realize that "Magic Mike" was a Warner Bros. release. He is starting to make much more sense as a nominee, since WB have had a nominee in this category every year for, what, 10 years running? I think most of us have been assuming that it would be Arkin, but McConaughey could be both WB's push and our first-timer, thus satisfying both "requirements" (and yes, I use the word half-jokingly).
Good for Weisz, I assumed her film was forgotten, it seems her films are always released too early and in too few theaters.
That said, I really expected "The Master" to do better here. I thought NYFCC loved PT Anderson.
Dave
MM might win NBR because they love warner brothers. Also LAFC could go for his body of work like they did last year with Chastain and Fassbender.
Anyone knows who got the runner-ups and third places?