Alan Arkin – Argo
Russell Crowe – Les Misérables
Robert De Niro – Silver Linings Playbook
Leonardo DiCaprio – Django Unchained
Dwight Henry – Beasts of the Southern Wild
Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
Matthew McConaughey – Magic Mike
Ewan McGregor – The Impossible
Eddie Redmayne – Les Misérables
Other
I want to make clear that of course, if Di Caprio is out and hence De Niro becomes Harvey’s #2 option instead of his #3, I’m totally predicting De Niro. AND the latest Django news are worrying, so…
But I’ll keep him in place until first reactions leak.
That lineup actually makes a lot of sense. Three veterans (one of them making a comeback), two Harvey contenders, two newcomers.Originally Posted by guany
But Harvey has gotten 3 people into the same category before.
Not in years SO crowded.That lineup actually makes a lot of sense. Three veterans (one of them making a comeback), two Harvey contenders, two newcomers.
But Harvey has gotten 3 people into the same category before.
Eh, his contenders (DiCaprio sight unseen) are strong enough to do it.
But so are the rest. Or were until tweets for Crowe appeared(then again, tweets for redmayne also appeared!).
On the heels of his double Indie Spirit nominations, I really think McConaughey is in. The buzz is really strong for him this year and I think he's going to have a strong run. Dumping DiCaprio again.
01. Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
02. Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
03. Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook
04. Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike
05. Eddie Redmayne, Les Miserables
--
06. Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
07. Alan Arkin, Argo
08. Ewan McGregor, The Impossible
09. Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild
10. Russell Crowe, Les Miserables
We have the same top five.
It just makes sense.
I'm enjoying this nice boost for McConaughey. If he can supplement his double-Spirit nominations with a Supporting Actor win from NBR next week, I think he'll be in a really, really good position.
Plus, having more than one first-time nominee in this category is the norm. Last year was the only year in at least the past decade that this category had only one first-timer (Hill), so 2+ newbies happen 90+% of the time.
Henry took a hit by missing even at the Spirits. If he can hit BFCA and/or BAFTA, he could remain a contender, but he's certainly in trouble.
Also, I'm dropping DiCaprio for now. Django isn't even finished, and it's practically fucking December. Even if it does get released on schedule, I think being released so late may negatively affect its chances for the major precursors, where ballots are due in 13 days, and thus make it much harder for him to strike with Oscars.
So:
Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master
Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln
Matthew McConaughey - Magic Mike
Eddie Redmayne - Les Miserables
It would be cool if McConaughey won NYFCC too. LAFCA, I'm doubtful, since they're way more adventurous/eccentric with their choices (LOL I still love my calling Niels Arestrup for A Prophet).
All the people who said Matthew could not get in told you so
Let's wait and see what the other more important award shows have to say, remember some of the top contenders were not eligible here (Jones, Hoffman). De Deniro not making it here won't hurt him much, last year they also overlooked a big star like Clooney.All the people who said Matthew could not get in told you so
McConaughey is going to have such a strong narrative for the win next year.
Like, he gets his first nomination for playing a sexy stripper, and the Very. Next. Year. he loses 40 pounds to play a person with AIDS?
McConaughey's double nod from ISA today really makes it seem even likelier that he'll pick up some critics' wins for his body of work. This is exciting!
Great. Now who's going to watch Sunday Rose on SAG night??
Yeah but double noms plus the globe nod for being him plus a SAG for finally getting respect he just seems safe
Yeah, I'm thinking that McGregor is out and McConaughey is in...I mean, it's not like the Spirits mean a whole lot, but he is clearly liked a lot and this year has been very kind to him.
Lol, is funny to watch how exciting everyone gets because MM got a double nod from ISA!
"Now my life is sweet like cinnamon..."
Oh, Silver Linings Playbook was eligible for ISA!!
AND ROBERT DE NIRO SUFFERED THE FIRST SNUB OF MANY TO COME!!!! DESPITE HIS TWO CO-STARS BEING NOMINATED!!!!! They could expand the category to six for Bradley, but not for Robert, to boot.
Capitulate, ladies, capitulate already.
Well, it's kind of a big deal so, yeah.Lol, is funny to watch how exciting everyone gets because MM got a double nod from ISA!
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