Best Actor: November, 4

[Boogaboog]

Oh, I dunno if they do or not, and that might not even be why he gets snubbed. It's just one possible negative. What if Harvey puts all of his energy into Silver Linings and Django, leaving only enough in reserve to get The Master a scant three nominations? I mean, we've seen him decide to downplay certain films in favor of others before. And Tarantino and Russell are far more Oscar friendly directors, and Cooper is much more likable, and so on.

The Master, were it a more engaging, better film, could have been the Oscar frontrunner right now. It didn't deliver, audiences didn't take to it, and so it will be a marginal figure in the Oscar race. There's nothing Harvey can do at this point.

[Simon87]

The Master, were it a more engaging, better film, could have been the Oscar frontrunner right now. It didn't deliver, audiences didn't take to it, and so it will be a marginal figure in the Oscar race. There's nothing Harvey can do at this point.

The Master is not dead in the water. NOT. AT.ALL. Tonight Gotham Awards will happen and the movie has a veri good chance of wiining; tomorrow the Independent Spirit Awards will announce their nominees and, if eligible, it could sweep with nominations

[LeonardShelby]

1. Daniel Day-Lewis
2. Joaquin Phoenix
3. Hugh Jackman
4. Bradley Cooper
5. John Hawkes

6. Denzel Washington

Yeah, I went there.

Yeah you shouldn't have.

[Mr. Film Awards]

In regards to the Best Actor category, most of you are predicting Daniel Day-Lewis to add another statuette to his cabinet. But as one of you lot said, unlike 2007, DDL faces a much stronger competition. And that got me thinking, could we be looking at (for the first time in the history of the Acting categories since 1968) the possibility of a tie between Mr. Day-Lewis and one of the other candidates?

[McTeague]

1. Daniel Day-Lewis
2. Joaquin Phoenix
3. Hugh Jackman
4. Bradley Cooper
5. John Hawkes

6. Denzel Washington

Yeah, I went there.

LOL, gurl.

Don't you think Phoenix would have more trouble?

But I still think the snubee will be Coop.

[siowafc]

In regards to the Best Actor category, most of you are predicting Daniel Day-Lewis to add another statuette to his cabinet. But as one of you lot said, unlike 2007, DDL faces a much stronger competition. And that got me thinking, could we be looking at (for the first time in the history of the Acting categories since 1968) the possibility of a tie between Mr. Day-Lewis and one of the other candidates?

No.

[HoneyDarling]

No.

Those are some really good points.

[siowafc]

I mean, if you want me to discuss the mathematical improbability of the votes of 6,000+ people ending in an exact tie, I could go there, but that really shouldn't be necessary.

[David Giancarlo]

Those are some really good points.

It's not an argument that needs good points. Ties are not something that happen: it's only happened twice in acting categories. How on earth would you rationalize predicting a tie, when the chances of two candidates having both the most and the same number of votes is statistically minute, at best?

ETA: sio said it better.

[FredArtik]

1. DDL
2. Hugh Jackman
3. Joaquin Phoenix
4. Denzel Washington
5.a John Hawkes
5.b Bradley Cooper

[Souler]

Talking about a tie would only make sense if AMPAS was like a festival jury that comes together and decides on a winner; as it is, it's pointless.

[FredArtik]

Talking about a tie would only make sense if AMPAS was like a festival jury that comes together and decides on a winner; as it is, it's pointless.

Yeah I know but I couldn't decide ATM. So I put them both. I keep chancing these two every day

[Souler]

Yeah I know but I couldn't decide ATM. So I put them both. I keep chancing these two every day

Oh, I was referring to Mr. Film Awards' post, not yours.

(FWIW; while a tie is at least theoretically possible when it comes to the winners, there can't be more than five nominees.)

[crazyfists3600]

Yeah I know but I couldn't decide ATM. So I put them both. I keep chancing these two every day

He was talking about the talk above you about a tie for the win.

[FredArtik]

Oh, I was referring to Mr. Film Awards' post, not yours.

(FWIW; while a tie is at least theoretically possible when it comes to the winners, there can't be more than five nominees.)

He was talking about the talk above you about a tie for the win.

Sorry, my bad

[erikdean]

People are replacing Joaquin Phoenix or Denzel Washington with Bradley Cooper?

[guany]

Yeah, right now I'm predicting Washington misses, and I really don't care what anyone else has to say about it. So, suck it. I'll gladly eat crow if I'm wrong.

We should all be happy that we're going to have yet another consecutive year of a supersexy Best Actor lineup -- arguably sexier than last year! (sorry, Gary Oldman). Barring some sort of gross upset of, like, Anthony Hopkins, the six guys in contention are all varying degrees of hot

Eh, Hawkes and Phoenix aren't even remotely attractive IMO. Last year was soooo much sexier.

On that note, SAG needs to introduce a new award for Sexiest Ensemble and give it to Zero Dark Thirty.

[siowafc]

Ah, guany, obviously that award would go to Magic Mike?!

#duh

[Howard Beale's Toothpaste]

People are replacing Joaquin Phoenix or Denzel Washington with Bradley Cooper?

You've been down on SLP across the board, so I'm disinclined to listen to your constant denigration of it.

[erikdean]

You've been down on SLP across the board, so I'm disinclined to listen to your constant denigration of it.

How many times do I need to say that I FUCKING LIKE SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK AND THAT I DON'T FEEL LIKE IT'S AN OSCAR JUGGERNAUT LIKE OTHERS DO?

Jeezus Tittyfucking Christ.