guany, you are going cray with some of your speculations this season! ZDT might miss in a field of 5? Arkin might win?!
And speculation is not prediction. I'm just tossing ideas around and thinking out loud as I finalize some predictions today. It doesn't mean I'm saying it's going to actually happen.
I don't think predicting a Washington snub is that weird. It's a tight race, his film has the least acclaim, he'd be its only nomination, and he (like Hawkes and Phoenix) is missing one of the major precursors. I won't predict it, but I don't think it's absurd, especially as speculation.