Who's Winning This? (November Edition)

[City Lights]

Really? I don't remember replying to anything you wrote today before this. If so, I didn't mean to.

As far as the predictions go, I don't think having McConaughey in a shaky 5th place is as outlandish as predicting Crowe as the winner.

I don't really think you can call it outlandish when we haven't gotten legitimate reviews yet. The odds are, as I stated before, a previous Oscar winner will win Supporting Actor this year. Right now TLJ looks good, and I feel like Crowe will probably make a big splash. McConaughey isn't even in the discussion of a nomination, really.

[with_one_voice]

Um, Lawrence of Africa?

[DirkDiggler]

I feel like Crowe will probably make a big splash.

Where did you get that from? Seems quite the opposite from the first set of tweets?

[Moviefreak]

Honey, Chicago. Does ir ring a bell? It lost Best Director. It can happen. You are not always right. I am not always right, so please, save me the worries of posting the obvious.

Yes, because all musicals are exactly the same. Plus, Rob Marshall and Tom Hooper are also obviously the same person.

McConaughey isn't even in the discussion of a nomination, really.

That's not true.

I know we haven't gotten any reviews for Les Mis yet, but going by today's screening the response overall has been rapturous, but pretty tepid on Crowe. I don't think he can get nominated, let alone win if that's the kind of reviews that he will get. Plus, you forget that he isn't exactly the most beloved person in the industry, so I think a nomination alone for him will be a feat.

[wilka26]

Best Picture: Argo
Best Director: Ben Affleck
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
Best Actress: Jessica Chastain
Best Supporting Actor: Leonard DiCaprio
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hawthaway
Adpated Screenplay: Lincoln
Original Screenplay: Moonrise Kingdom
Cinematography: Life of Pi
Costume: Les Miserables
Film Editing: Argo
Make-Up: The Hobbit
Original Score: Life of Pi
Song: Les Miserables
Production Design: Les Miserables
Sound Editing: The Dark Knight Rises
Sound Mixing: The Dark Knight Rises
Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Animated Feature: Wreck-It-Ralph
Documentary: Central Park Five
Foreign Langauge: Amour

[guany]

Eh, I'm having problems seeing Les Mis win Picture without Hooper winning Director. This isn't a fluffy little musical like Chicago; this is a tearjerking epic that looks like it's going to tie Titanic and Eve for the most nominations ever.

Really, the only thing standing in Les Mis/Hooper's way is that he just won two years ago. If they had given BP to The Social Network, or even just given Fincher Directing while still awarding The King's Speech, I would have no doubt in Hooper winning.

[Boogaboog]

Best Picture: Les Miserables
Best Director: Tom Hooper
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
Best Actress: Jessica Chastain
Best Supporting Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hawthaway
Adpated Screenplay: Lincoln
Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
Cinematography: Life of Pi
Costume: Anna Karenina
Film Editing: Zero Dark Thirty
Make-Up: The Hobbit
Original Score: Life of Pi
Song: Les Miserables
Production Design: Les Miserables
Foreign Langauge: Amour

[CINNAMON]

Um, Lawrence of Africa?

lol! I thought the same!

[Orlean]

I don't understand what you're saying. Jeff Bridges and Forest Whitaker weren't in BP nominees.

ETA: Come to think of it, neither was Denzel.

Oh, my bad.
(I wanted to write nearly or mainly all, but for got it then...)

[Howard Beale's Toothpaste]

I dunno, I can see a lot of scenarios in which there's a Best Picture/Director split this year, and for me all of them end up with Ben Affleck holding the director Oscar.

[Boogaboog]

I dunno, I can see a lot of scenarios in which there's a Best Picture/Director split this year, and for me all of them end up with Ben Affleck holding the director Oscar.

I don't get this. What about Argo's direction makes you think it's going to beat Spielberg, Hooper, Ang Lee, Tarantino, or Bigelow? At this point I can very well envision him not even being nominated.

[Simon87]

I don't get this. What about Argo's direction makes you think it's going to beat Spielberg, Hooper, Ang Lee, Tarantino, or Bigelow? At this point I can very well envision him not even being nominated.

Affleck is still n.1, there is no denying...and let's not forget that he directed the most critically acclaimed american movie of the year! Jst no, i firmly think he's going to win this thing.

[Atonenent.]

Affleck is still n.1, there is no denying...and let's not forget that he directed the most critically acclaimed american movie of the year! Jst no, i firmly think he's going to win this thing.

Cue the Lincoln fanatics.

[Cecilia]

Well, Master, Lincoln and BOTSW are American, too...

[steandric]

PICTURE: Argo
DIRECTOR: Ben Affleck, Argo
ACTOR: Hugh Jackman, Les misérables
ACTRESS: Naomi Watts, The impossible
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Ewan McGregor, The impossible
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Anne Hathaway, Les misérables
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: The impossible
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Argo
CINEMATOGRAPHY: Lincoln
ART DIRECTION: Les misérables
MUSIC: Lincoln
SONG: Les misérables
EDITING: Argo
SOUND MIXING: Les misérables
SOUND EDITING: The impossible
COSTUME DESIGN: Anna Karenina
MAKE-UP: Lincoln
VISUAL EFFECTS: Life of Pi
ANIMATED FEATURE: Frankenweenie
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: The intouchables (France)

made sense.

[steandric]

Picture - "Lincoln"
Director - Steven Spielberg, "Lincoln"
Actor - Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"
Actress - Naomi Watts, "The Impossible"
Supporting Actor - Leonardo DiCaprio, "Django Unchained"
Supporting Actress - Anne Hathaway, "Les Miserables"
Adapted Screenplay - "Lincoln"
Original Screenplay - "Zero Dark Thirty"

Made sense.

[ladylurks]

Oh, my bad.
(I wanted to write nearly or mainly all, but for got it then...)

Ah, now I see.

[MVP of West Hollywood]

I just don't see Argo getting back on top of Lincoln and Les Mis (if it's the real deal). If can see Lincoln or Les Mis being BP without BD films, but not with Affleck or Russell or Lee winning BD... it'd have to be something like Zero Dark, Impossible, etc. as that BD

[Aara]

Best Picture: Les Miserables
Best Director: Steven Spielberg
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
Best Actress: Jessica Chastain
Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
Adapted Screenplay: Lincoln
Original Screenplay: Moonrise Kingdom

[MVP of West Hollywood]

Throw me into the for Les Miserables, Hooper, DDL, Lawrence, Hathaway, Jones group