Best Supporting Actor: November, 2

[Dr_Dmitri-Yuriev]

My wild predictions of the week:

01. Ewan McGregor, The impossible
02. Robert de Niro, Silver linings playbook
03. Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
04. Philip Seymour Hoffman, The master
05. Michael Peña, End of watch

06. Javier Bardem, Skyfall
07. Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike
08. Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern wild

That would be amazing, loved him in the film though in reality he's a co-lead.

[dlong5665]

Maybe both McConaughey and Henry can edge out DiCaprio or De Niro or something. It's possible.

[with_one_voice]

Maybe both McConaughey and Henry can edge out DiCaprio or De Niro or something. It's possible.

Love the sig! LOL!

[dlong5665]

Love the sig! LOL!

Thanks! If she gets nominated we all know the reason why!

[bigmoney]

Jones
Hoffaman
Dicaprio
Law
Henry

[Atonenent.]

I think The Impossible gets Picture/Actress/Supporting Actor/techs (VFX, both Sounds, maybe Score, Cinematography,...). The emotional factor shouldn't be underestimated.

[Moviefreak]

I don't think McConaughey is comparable to Chastain and Fassbender last year.

I mean, Chastain had juicy parts in TWO Best Picture nominees. One was a monster hit at the box-office and the other one won in Cannes.

Fassbender starred in a big summer tent-pole and won Best Actor in Venice.

McConaughey, if anything, is showing promise by starring in stuff like Paperboy and Killer Joe. However, neither movie was particularly sucessful. Magic Mike was a fun role and did pretty good but it wasn't a particularly strong role to get Oscar traction. Kinda like John Travolta in Hairspray, he might get the Globe nod but the thing is too lightweight for the Academy's taste, me thinks.

I agree that he isn't exactly comparable to Chastain or Fassbender, but Travolta isn't a great comparison either. First off, McConaughey's reviews were much stronger and while the film is light, the role itself has an edge to it. Plus, the film is directed by an Oscar winner. He has a lot more going for him than John Travolta did.

[Donezo]

I kind of wonder if James Spader in Lincoln could be our first-timer instead? It's very possible if they go nuts for the film.

[Moviefreak]

I was just thinking that. I mean it's not out of the realm of possibility, but for now I think it's unlikely.

[GR3]

I kind of wonder if James Spader in Lincoln could be our first-timer instead? It's very possible if they go nuts for the film.

Join me in predicting him





Funniest performance all year.

[Matt-10]

I'm going to try something a little different from what I've been predicting...

Philip Seymour Hoffman
Tommy Lee Jones
Robert De Niro
Ewan McGregor
Dwight Henry
---
Alan Arkin
Leonardo DiCaprio
Javier Bardem

I didn't have enough new people nominated, but I can realistically see both McGregor and Henry garnering support. For McGregor, it's certainly nice to have someone like Angelina Jolie championing him and hosting private screenings to showcase his performance.

[crazyfists3600]

I just don't understand not having Crowe in as even an option...

[DirkDiggler]

I just don't understand not having Crowe in as even an option...

This must be heartbreaking for you.

[crazyfists3600]

This must be heartbreaking for you.

Oh I don't care what some random posters have to say, really. Crowe has had an uphill battle for the collective masses here to predict him all year, so whatever. I just think it is foolish at this point in the game to not even have him as an option. If Les Mis is huge, he's in. The character alone is enough to get him on the final ballot. He may not pose a threat to win, but to have him outside your top seven at this point seems strange.

[DirkDiggler]

Oh I don't care what some random posters have to say, really. Crowe has had an uphill battle for the collective masses here to predict him all year, so whatever. I just think it is foolish at this point in the game to not even have him as an option. If Les Mis is huge, he's in. The character alone is enough to get him on the final ballot. He may not pose a threat to win, but to have him outside your top seven at this point seems strange.

He's at my #7.

[erikdean]

I just don't understand not having Crowe in as even an option...

It's completely unrealistic. To me, he's only under Hoffman and Jones. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised at all if it ended up like:

Crowe
Henry
Hoffman
Jones
McConaghey

[Dr_Dmitri-Yuriev]

I agree that he isn't exactly comparable to Chastain or Fassbender, but Travolta isn't a great comparison either. First off, McConaughey's reviews were much stronger and while the film is light, the role itself has an edge to it. Plus, the film is directed by an Oscar winner. He has a lot more going for him than John Travolta did.

I wouldn't say he has that amazing reviews either. A lot of them say its his best role to date which isn't saying much considering his past work. Others say he's the best in the cast again is that saying much considering who his co-stars are and yet others say he's funny or that the role suits his acting style very well. Are they good reviews, yes but I was expecting far better the way some people were claiming he had amazing notices.

[Moviefreak]

I agree that not having Crowe as an option is silly. He's clearly in the top ten and will get his obligatory GG nomination because you just know the HFPA will nominate it in every single category. But, that's where it'll end for him.

[crazyfists3600]

It's completely unrealistic. To me, he's only under Hoffman and Jones.

Exactly. I have him in at #3 right now too.

[homespun]

Chiming in to agree that not having Crowe as an option is just plain dumb. Yes, he's not exactly going to win any popularity contests, and his singing in the trailers damaged his cause somewhat, but if the academy really goes for Les Miz (and if critics really like him, despite the singing), he can get in. He's not in my top 5, but he's not a million miles away either.