Alan Arkin – Argo
Javier Bardem – Skyfall
Russell Crowe – Les Misérables
Robert De Niro – Silver Linings Playbook
Leonardo DiCaprio – Django Unchained
John Goodman – Argo
Dwight Henry – Beasts of the Southern Wild
Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
Matthew McConaughey – Magic Mike
Ewan McGregor – The Impossible
I think The Impossible gets Picture/Actress/Supporting Actor/techs (VFX, both Sounds, maybe Score, Cinematography,...). The emotional factor shouldn't be underestimated.
I know I've got a big ego, I really don't know why it's such a big deal, though.
I kind of wonder if James Spader in Lincoln could be our first-timer instead? It's very possible if they go nuts for the film.
Great. Now who's going to watch Sunday Rose on SAG night??
I was just thinking that. I mean it's not out of the realm of possibility, but for now I think it's unlikely.
I'm going to try something a little different from what I've been predicting...
Philip Seymour Hoffman
Tommy Lee Jones
Robert De Niro
I didn't have enough new people nominated, but I can realistically see both McGregor and Henry garnering support. For McGregor, it's certainly nice to have someone like Angelina Jolie championing him and hosting private screenings to showcase his performance.
I just don't understand not having Crowe in as even an option...
I agree that not having Crowe as an option is silly. He's clearly in the top ten and will get his obligatory GG nomination because you just know the HFPA will nominate it in every single category. But, that's where it'll end for him.
Chiming in to agree that not having Crowe as an option is just plain dumb. Yes, he's not exactly going to win any popularity contests, and his singing in the trailers damaged his cause somewhat, but if the academy really goes for Les Miz (and if critics really like him, despite the singing), he can get in. He's not in my top 5, but he's not a million miles away either.