Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty
Marion Cotillard – Rust and Bone
Judi Dench – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Keira Knightley – Anna Karenina
Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
Helen Mirren – Hitchcock
Emmanuelle Riva – Amour
Maggie Smith – Quartet
Quvenzhané Wallis – Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts – The Impossible
1.Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
2.Quvenzhané Wallis – Beasts of the Southern Wild
3.Helen Mirren – Hitchcock
4.Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty
5.Marion Cotillard – Rust and Bone
alt.Naomi Watts – The Impossible/Emmanuelle Riva – Amour
i'm probably wrong(except JLaw,Wallis,Mirren)but it's nothing new for me
Judi Dench, Maggie Smith and Helen Mirren lost a Bafta in the same category and in the same year... The winner was Jennifer Connelly... I guess Hathaway is safe even if Judi Dench/Skyfall and Maggie Smith/Marigold are nominated for the Bafta.
Jali Awards Best Actress 1920-1925
1920 Tora Teje, Erotikon // 1921 Pola Negri, The wildcat
1922 Anna May Wong, The toll of the sea // 1923 Marion Davies, Little old New York
1924 Marie Prevost, The marriage circle // 1925 Gloria Swanson, Stage struck
I'm beginning to doubt Mirren's chances. The buzz died after AFI as quickly as it began. There's no passion for the project, even more bizarre considering the premiere platform and caliber of talent involved. Marion is only happening if people see the movie. Once again, "prognosticators" this year seem to be confusing Cannes with AMPAS. Foreign films are a tough sell. Yes! Marion is a big Hollywood star but AMPAS still needs to watch the movie. Nobody is putting her name on the ballot if the movie is not seen. Ask Tilda Swinton, an Academy Award-winning actress completely shut out for an impressive turn in a foreign film. Riva has the edge, in my opinion, simply based on the strength of performance, the respect for Haneke and his overdue status. Plus, Haneke is out and about, campaigning and DRAGGING Spielberg in the process (LMAO-worthy and 100% of unadulterated awesomeness). As for Chastain, we'll just have to wait until screenings. What a wacky year. Truly, anything goes.
It seems that Chastain is the last hope to make the race more competitive and interesting. If she fails, the best actress race will be ended too soon for this year. Lawrence is probably going to take all the major awards while Wallis will get some film critics awards. I still think Riva might win if she finally gets in. It's one of the foreign language film contenders and the performance is just incredible. The members of the Academy will vote for her without any doubt once they watch the film.
I actually think Emmanuelle Riva is the real dark horse to watch for the win - that is if she is able to get nominated in the first place Otherwise it's Lawrence (or Chastain if that pans out) all the way.