And Hawkes is probably still happening though...but we will see!As mine haha, I will only change it if Jackman dissapoints, then I'll replace him for Hawkes
I'm not sure about Trintignant. Daniel Craig could nab a nom for Skyfall since it's the biggest British movie this year and it's acclaimed. Denzel won't be nominated, that's for sure. John Hawkes is too small and too American. Cooper could happen if Brits love SLP, which is unknown for now. Suraj Sharma might get in, Dev Patel did and he had a whole lot less screentime then what Sharma is getting.
For now, I don't know. The BAFTA are tricky to predict.
1. DDL
2. Denzel Washington
3. Joaquin Phoenix
4. Hugh Jackman
5. John Hawkes
alt: Bradley Cooper, Anthony Hopkins
I'm not really feeling the Cooper nomination yet, maybe if he wins a few things here and there but I think AMPAS would much rather nominate Hawkes and they'll be popping in the screener anyways for Helen Hunt.
Cooper will have to be happy with BFCA and GG - Comedy noms this year. That's where his train begins and ends.
WTF? Comparing Suraj and Patel is completely bizarre? The latter was a fairly well recognized British actor (Skins), in a British film, helmed by a respected British director which produced huge success at the BAFTA's in various categories, including actor.
Suraj is an Indian actor, in an American film, helmed by a respected Chinese director. I don't understand how that combination adds up to massive BAFTA support.
Edit: Sorry, I see you've already addressed this but whatever.
I compared the two because they both star in films which are seen more of directorial achievements more than anything else and they are both newcomers (I don't know how popular Skins was, so I'd still put Patel as a newcomer). They both happen to be Indian but i did not compare them because of race. Patel did have the whole British thing but Ang Lee is an extremely respected vet and BAFTA will probably fall head over heels for Life of Pi. As I said, we'll see how it plays out.
At the very least Sharma will probably make the longlist.
I know
So basically, I think this means that, according to this new system, the nominees in past years would've been the asterisked 'chapter selections' from the longlists. So for ex, last year we would've had Eddie Marsan over Jim Broadbent, and Zoe Wanamaker and Bryce Dallas Howard (in a category w/ 6 nominees) over Carey MulliganThe date move will give members more time to vote, especially now that a round has been eliminated. Up until now, members voted in all categories (except Documentary, Film Not in the English Language and Outstanding British Film) with a longlist then compiled reflecting the 15 top choices in each category. That list was usually unveiled in early January. On it, choices put forth by the voting chapters (branches) were flagged and those more often than not ended up being the ones that made it further down the line. About a week later, round two of the voting resulted in the official nominees and round three resulted in the winners.
Now, the first round of voting will directly result in nominees. All members will continue to vote for nominees and winners in the Best Film and top four acting categories. However, in the director, adapted and original screenplay, cinematography, costume design, editing, make-up & hair, original music, production design, sound and visual effects categories, members of those chapters will decide the nominees and vote for the winner, much like the Oscars.