I'm not feeling This Is 40 (not that I ever was) -- http://www.metacritic.com/movie/this-is-40
:waits for Dirk to pounce:
Anna Karenina (Tom Stoppard)
Argo (Chris Terrio)
Beasts of the Southern Wild (Lucy Alibar, Benh Zeitlin)
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (Ol Parker)
Cloud Atlas (The Wachowskis, Tom Tykwer)
The Dark Knight Rises (Christopher Nolan, Jonathan Nolan)
Hitchcock (John J. McLaughlin)
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Philippa Boyens, Peter Jackson, Guillermo del Toro, Fran Walsh)
Les MisÚrables (William Nicholson)
Life of Pi (David Magee)
Lincoln (Tony Kushner)
The Sessions (Ben Lewin)
Skyfall (John Logan, Patrick Marber, Neal Purvis, Robert Wade)
Silver Linings Playbook (David O. Russell)
This is 40 (Judd Apatow)
I know it's fading a bit, but I'm guessing Life of Pi gets the 5th spot. It'll still most likely be a Best Picture nominee and the book was widely considered to be very difficult to adapt. I think the writers will appreciate that.
I don't know about The Sessions, I suppose it can get in too, but the film has like no buzz whatsoever. It feels like an afterthought at this point.
If both Like of Pi and Beasts get picture, i think they get in here too. Sessions has no shot for picture, so i doubt it can get in here. Helen Hunt is probably the only sure bet for that film and Hawkes if he tries to fight for it.
Could something like Cloud Atlas get the last spot? It has a lot of detractors, and I'm assuming most of those dislike the screenplay, but it feels like it has such fierce passion and those people love the screenplay and how they managed to adapt it.
Speaking of Life of Pi, I have no idea what to make of that film right now.
I guess I'm predicting Picture, Cinematography, and Visual Effects. Maybe Screenplay. Maybe Director? Tapley/Thompson said that Fox didn't send out screeners... they want people to see it in theaters and experience the 3D.
I wouldn't be surprised for it to miss Screenplay, but I still think Ang Lee is in. It's the opposite case of Les Miz: he gets the credit for the film being good. I think even the haters at least respect his vision.
Great. Now who's going to watch Sunday Rose on SAG night??
I know I've got a big ego, I really don't know why it's such a big deal, though.
I think Perks of Being a Wildflower might actually be a possibility.
With the prize being awarded to Chris Terrio for 'Argo' at LA, it appears the Adapted Screenplay appears to be turning into a 3-way competition between:
Tony Kushner - Lincoln (Boston, New York)
Chris Terrio - Argo (LA)
David O. Russell (NBR)