Box Office Thread: Winter is Coming...

[RRA]

Thanks RRA. And it's going wide now!?!? This weekend!?!? Only on one of the busiest and most crowded - maybe the MOST crowded weekend of the year?!? Sure, it's a lucrative weekend but it's like chock-full of new releases and the movie's now too old to really capitalize in any big way. That's a FAIL right there.

I do believe in momentum, and taking the narrative in an awards season. But to be fair, Weinsteins simply made a calculation that might've worked before other times, but this time it didn't. Or I don't think it will at least.

[Shy_Hallaman]

FIRST BOX OFFICE: Tom Cruise’s ‘Jack Reacher’ #2, Judd Apatow’s ‘This Is 40′ #4

[dyedred19]

Jesus, the numbers for The Guilt Trip are abysmal!

[Donezo]

They should probably start airing that "Golden Globe Nominee Barbra Streisand!" ad in order to trick people into seeing it.

[RRA]

Jesus, the numbers for The Guilt Trip are abysmal!

Call me naive, I'm surprised JR did that well today considering the well-criticized abysmal marketing. (If anything its TI40 that is performing like I thought JR would. Go figure.)

Interestingly DL did mention both were modestly budgeted (JR $50-60 million, TI40 $50 million) so I guess....the modest budget movie has returned! HOORAY!

(Even during his post-Oprah couch jump, pre-GHOST PROTOCOL down and out period, Cruise was still a star overseas so JR is a bargain for Paramount and that'll bring a profit.)

[Jonathan]

Friday numbers

The Hobbit - $10.17 million (-73%)
Jack Reacher - $5.1 million ($1,521 PTA)
This is 40 - $3.7 million ($1,271)

The Guilt Trip - $1.5 million ($614)
Monsters, Inc. 3D - $1.4 million ($531)
Cirque du Soleil: Worlds Away - $802,000 ($955)

Zero Dark Thirty - $115,000 ($23,000)
The Impossible - $37,700 ($2,513)

Pretty mediocre weekend as a whole for, like, everything, except ZDT.

The Impossible.

(Granted, it WILL probably rebound over next weekend, but that's still a VERY mediocre number).

[CMJ]

Good holds for Life of Pi and Lincoln.

[Shy_Hallaman]

Exhibitor Relations ‏@ERCboxoffice Ang Lee's LIFE OF PI manifested $23.2M from 46 foreign markets this weekend. Int'l total is now $160.5M.

Box Office Mojo ‏@boxofficemojo
#TheHobbit added $91 million overseas this weekend for a new total of $284 million: http://ow.ly/gk8HE

[with_one_voice]

December 21-23, 2012
Weekend
Studio Estimates

1 1 The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey WB $36,705,000 -56.6% 4,100 +55 $8,952 $149,858,000 - 2
2 N Jack Reacher Par. $15,600,000 - 3,352 - $4,654 $15,600,000 $60 1
3 N This Is 40 Uni. $12,031,000 - 2,912 - $4,132 $12,031,000 $35 1
4 2 Rise of the Guardians P/DW $5,900,000 -17.4% 3,031 -356 $1,947 $79,694,000 $145 5
5 3 Lincoln BV $5,633,000 -19.9% 2,293 +8 $2,457 $116,781,000 $65 7
6 N The Guilt Trip Par. $5,390,000 - 2,431 - $2,217 $7,421,000 $40 1
7 N Monsters, Inc. (3D) BV $5,040,000 - 2,618 - $1,925 $6,525,000 - 1
8 4 Skyfall Sony $4,700,000 -28.3% 2,365 -559 $1,987 $279,972,000 $200 7
9 5 Life of Pi Fox $3,800,000 -29.8% 1,750 -798 $2,171 $76,156,000 $120 5
10 6 The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 Sum. $2,600,000 -49.4% 2,000 -1,042 $1,300 $281,606,000 $120 6

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

[DirkDiggler]

The per theatre average for ZDT is not as amazing compared to other limited releases this year.

[Artimus]

Isn't 82000 in 5 theatres amazing!?

[Shy_Hallaman]

The per theatre average for ZDT is not as amazing compared to other limited releases this year.

It's just slightly less than Lincoln's. Is that not impressive?

1	26	Zero Dark Thirty	Sony	$82,000	5	$410,000	$639,000	12/21/12
2	23	Lincoln	BV	$85,846	11	$944,308	$116,781,000	11/09/12
3	57	The Perks of Being a Wallflower	Sum.	$57,090	4	$228,359	$17,140,600	9/21/12
4	9	The Master	Wein.	$147,262	5	$736,311	$15,921,884	9/14/12
5	150	Samsara	Osci.	$38,111	2	$76,222	$2,602,000	8/24/12
6	44	Sleepwalk with Me	IFC	$68,801	1	$68,801	$2,266,066	8/24/12
7	167	The Dark Knight Rises	WB	$36,532	4,404	$160,887,295	$448,139,099	7/20/12
8	117	Beasts of the Southern Wild	FoxS	$42,426	4	$169,702	$11,249,128	6/29/12
9	38	To Rome with Love	SPC	$72,272	5	$361,359	$16,685,867	6/22/12

[Mmelissa]

Isn't 82000 in 5 theatres amazing!?

I was just about to say.... Isn't that around what Lincoln debuted with?

[RRA]

fyi, Cinemascore grades for new releases this weekend.

Jack Reacher A-
This is 40 B-
The Guilt Trip B-

[DirkDiggler]

It's just slightly less than Lincoln's. How is that not impressive?

1	26	Zero Dark Thirty	Sony	$82,000	5	$410,000	$639,000	12/21/12
2	23	Lincoln	BV	$85,846	11	$944,308	$116,781,000	11/09/12
3	57	The Perks of Being a Wallflower	Sum.	$57,090	4	$228,359	$17,140,600	9/21/12
4	9	The Master	Wein.	$147,262	5	$736,311	$15,921,884	9/14/12
5	150	Samsara	Osci.	$38,111	2	$76,222	$2,602,000	8/24/12
6	44	Sleepwalk with Me	IFC	$68,801	1	$68,801	$2,266,066	8/24/12
7	167	The Dark Knight Rises	WB	$36,532	4,404	$160,887,295	$448,139,099	7/20/12
8	117	Beasts of the Southern Wild	FoxS	$42,426	4	$169,702	$11,249,128	6/29/12
9	38	To Rome with Love	SPC	$72,272	5	$361,359	$16,685,867	6/22/12

The Master and Moonrise Kingdom had way better PTA in the same and one less theater. I just feel it should have been in that territory. And Lincoln was in 11 theaters so that made it's PTA more impressive too.

[Shy_Hallaman]

The Master and Moonrise Kingdom had way better PTA in the same and one less theater. I just feel it should have been in that territory. And Lincoln was in 11 theaters so that made it's PTA more impressive too.

Meaning, you wanted it to have the highest PTA ever. Being 26th all-time and 3rd in the year is not good enough.

[DirkDiggler]

Meaning, you wanted it to have the highest PTA ever. Being 26th all-time and 3rd in the year is not good enough.

I just think, it should have made more with the buzz and reviews surrounding it?

Just not as impressive as the others.

[Submerge]

I think it's totally absurd to be disappointed by ZDT's PTA, but whatever!

[erikdean]

The biggest box office flops of 2012

10. Total Recall
The production budget for this movie was $125 million. They reportedly only grossed $58,877,969 domestically.

9. The Oogieloves in the Big Balloon Adventure
The production budget for this movie was $20 million. They reportedly only grossed $1,065,907 domestically.

8. That's My Boy
The production budget for this movie was $70 million. They reportedly only grossed $36,931,089 domestically.

7. Rock of Ages
The production budget for this movie was $75 million. They reportedly only grossed $38,518,613 domestically.

6. John Carter
The production budget for this movie was $250 million. They reportedly only grossed $73,078,100 domestically.

5. Dredd
The production budget for this movie was $50 million. They reportedly only grossed $13,414,714 domestically.

4. Dark Shadows
The production budget for this movie was $150 million. They reportedly only grossed $79,727,149 domestically.

3. Big Miracle
The production budget for this movie was $40 million. They reportedly only grossed $20,157,300 domestically.

2. A Thousand Words
The production budget for this movie was $40 million. They reportedly only grossed $18,450,127 domestically.

1. Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter
The production budget for this movie was $69 million. They reportedly only grossed $37,519,139 domestically.

[DoesMonaKnow]

I don't understand those rankings. It's not strictly a ratio of production budget to gross, because then the biggest flop would have been Oogieloves. Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter is at #1 and Battleship didn't even make the Top 10. For the latter, it could be argued that it performed better internationally but the same is true of John Carter, which did make the list.