SAG 2012 Nominees Predictions

[Ben7]

It could go to Moonrise Kingdom, The Master, The Hobbit, or something totally out of left field as well.

With such a large (and respected) cast, it wouldn't surprise me if The Hobbit made it into the ensemble category here.

[Donezo]

Yours was one of two people in this thread that I saw put Sally Field at #1 for supporting actress, and a few others have her at #2... To me, its interesting to have Sally Field at #1 because I'm kind of expecting Anne Hathaway to steam roll through the competition and pick up every major award. But at the same time, I'm expecting Sally Field will be awarded somewhere along the way. I'm just not sure which award Field has the best chance of winning this season. Though I expect the SAG to probably go to Hathaway, for some reason I'm thinking that if Field has a shot at winning any televised award, it may be this one, or maybe the GG?

His list is alphabetical, dear.

[Ben7]

His list is alphabetical, dear.

oh dammit! Thanks

But my point is still the same, I kind of expect that of any televised award, Sally Field probably has the best chances here, than anywhere else..

[steandric]

Nov. 26, 2012

Mark Ruffalo on Naomi Watts in 'The Impossible'
SAG Preview: Actors on Actors - Ruffalo on Watts

By Mark Ruffalo
Variety, The Vote


Naomi shows us once again how beautifully and honestly she can render tragedy into heroism. In the character of Maria, she shows us a woman who

is both struggling with sacrificing a career for her three young sons and a longing for greater meaning.

There is a Christmas morning scene that feels devoid of family or the togetherness and becomes a free-for-all to open presents. The family is staying

at a top resort surrounded by beauty and material wealth. All of these things experienced through the filter of Maria's quiet emptiness and soul

sickness. Naomi masterfully imparts Maria's longing for something that not even she is able to articulate. Naomi does this in a look or a simple few

words about her husband always being on his cell phone. She then turns her disappointment into a light-hearted laugh to cover her longing, to cast off

any heaviness or discomfort. These things are subtle and nearly imperceptible to any other audience member, but to an actor they are admirable in

their restraint, poise and intention.

What happens next is an epiphany through suffering. The scene with Naomi and her son (a fantastic Tom Holland) trying to survive in the torrents of

the 2004 Thailand tsunami are heartbreaking, and we are swept up into the emotional honesty of a woman coming to terms with the loss of her

children and family.

This is great and nearly impossible acting. Naomi takes us through this woman's journey from modern malaise to the deepest and most meaningful

parts of being human: our relationships to others in the world around us.

Naomi fills every moment onscreen with honesty and intention -- one eye on the story and the other on credibility, and she is deeply in service to them

both. She never backs away from what is difficult and she is never gratuitous or vain, which is incredibly refreshing and admirable. Naomi Watts is

one of our acting treasures.


http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118062469/

[Elias Subwell]

Best Ensemble:

Argo
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

(alt. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel & Moonrise Kingdom)

Best Actor:

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Denzel Washington, Flight

(alt. Richard Gere, Arbitrage | Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock | Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables )

Best Actress:

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea

(alt. Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone | Helen Mirren, Hitchcock | Emmanuelle Riva, Amour)

Best Supporting Actor:

Billy Connolly, Quartet
Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook
Phillip Seymour Hoffmann, The Master
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Eddie Redmayne, Les Miserables

(alt. Alan Arkin, Argo | John Goodman, Argo or Flight | Ewan McGregor, The Impossible | Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike )

Best Supporting Actress:

Amy Adams, The Master
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Frances McDormand, Promised Land

(alt. Samantha Barks, Les Miserables | Susan Sarandon, Arbitrage | Maggie Smith, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)

[Howard Beale's Toothpaste]

ensemble
Argo
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Moonrise Kingdom

actress
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Helen Mirren, Hitchcock
Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone

actor
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Denzel Washington, Flight
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
John Hawkes, The Sessions

supporting actress
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Amy Adams, The Master
Amanda Seyfried, Les Miserables

supporting actor
Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike
Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Eddie Redmayne, Les Miserables

[with_one_voice]

Taye Diggs to announce '19th Annual SAG Award' Nominees

Awards season is upon us folks. Predictions for Oscar nominations started weeks ago. Today it was announced that Taye Diggs (Private Practice) will join Busy Phillips (Cougar Town) to announce the 19th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards. Diggs is no stranger to the awards having been awarded an actor as part of the winning Ensemble from Chicago.

The announcement will be broadcast live on TNT and simulcast on the web on both tnt.tv and tbs.com.

http://blogs.indiewire.com/shadowand...award-nominees

[filmy]

updated to reflect recent developments and people's thirst for some SERIOUS REALNESS

Best Ensemble
Argo
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Moonrise Kingdom

alternate: Django Unchained (if seen in time!)

Best Male Actor in a Leading Role
Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
John Hawkes (The Sessions)
Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables)
Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)
Denzel Washington (Flight)

alternate: Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)


Best Female Actor in a Leading Role
Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
Judi Dench (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)
Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Naomi Watts (The Impossible)
Rachel Weisz (The Deep Blue Sea)

Alternate: Helen Mirren (Hitchcock)

Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
Matthew McConaughey (Magic Mike)
Eddie Redmayne (Les Miserables)

Alternate: Ewan McGregor (The Impossible)

Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams (The Master)
Sally Field (Lincoln)
Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
Helen Hunt (The Sessions)
Maggie Smith (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)

Alternate: Samantha Barks (Les Miserables)

[guany]

SAG ballots are due in one week.

It appears enough people are seeing Les Mis with all the screenings and screeners. But I'm wondering about ZDT and Django.

[McTeague]

Ensemble is such a bitch.

1- I want to predict Django but I dn't know what to take out.
2- I'd take out Zero Dark Thirty like, easily, but they love to have the BP winner in the bunch, and ZDT looks like the strongest contender for that so far.
3- And yet, I think the Django ensemble is much more SAG-ish than the ZDT one.
4- How about taking out Silver Linings, that, after all, only has three relevant actors? Although they nominated Million Dollar Baby which was in the same situation...

ARGH.

[Jonathan]

I would say SLP is droppable. They've had comedy-free line-ups before (2005, 2008, 2009), and Django and Argo might be "light" enough to make the line-up not seem too heavy. Argo, Les Miz and Lincoln strike me as the only locks right now. Even ZDT could miss I think, but I agree that its apparent high quality will be enough to get it in.

[crazyfists3600]

But M$B was winning the Oscar, so it was the Best Picture winner slot.

Silver Linings Playbook isn't winning shit at this point.

[jevousaime]

Ensemble is such a bitch.

1- I want to predict Django but I dn't know what to take out.
2- I'd take out Zero Dark Thirty like, easily, but they love to have the BP winner in the bunch, and ZDT looks like the strongest contender for that so far.
3- And yet, I think the Django ensemble is much more SAG-ish than the ZDT one.
4- How about taking out Silver Linings, that, after all, only has three relevant actors? Although they nominated Million Dollar Baby which was in the same situation...

ARGH.

I'd take out Silver Linings too.

[crazyfists3600]

Yeah, I don't think Silver is happening. I'm not predicting Zero either.



I just fucked up my Sup. Actor predictions though...seriously...that fricking category is

[Jonathan]

Also, if a Django double-nomination in S. Actor happens anywhere this season, this will probably be the place. Even though it hasn't happened at the Oscars in over 20 years, it's happened four times now in the 18-year history of SAG: The Birdcage (Azaria/Lane), The Contender (Bridges/Oldman), Crash (Cheadle/Dillon), and No Country for Old Men (Bardem/Jones). Or maybe it could happen with Lincoln, with Spader slipping in? Something to consider...

[McTeague]

Also, if a Django double-nomination in S. Actor happens anywhere this season, this will probably be the place. Even though it hasn't happened at the Oscars in over 20 years, it's happened four times now in the 18-year history of SAG: The Birdcage (Azaria/Lane), The Contender (Bridges/Oldman), Crash (Cheadle/Dillon), and No Country for Old Men (Bardem/Jones). Or maybe it could happen with Lincoln, with Spader slipping in? Something to consider...

Or with Les Miz? Something to consider!

LOL, I guess Django would have the best chance, but then again Django is the last to screen and to be showed to SAG, and that has hurt movies before.

[with_one_voice]

Also, Waltz was undoubtedly submitted in Leading for Django (SAG voters have to accept the category that actors are placed in), so unless there's a swell of support for Jackson, we don't be getting Django double Supp Actor noms